Properly, that is one thing.

In at this time’s Q3 earnings name, Meta CEO Mark Zuckerberg shared a fast observe concerning the progress of Threads to this point, and what he sees because the potential for the Twitter-like app.

Right here’s Zuckerberg’s full abstract:

“I wish to give a fast replace on Threads. We’re three months in now, and I am very pleased with the trajectory. There are just below 100 million month-to-month actives at this level, and we’re now attending to the purpose the place we’re going to be specializing in rising the neighborhood additional. From what we are able to inform, folks adore it to date. I’ve thought for a very long time that there ought to be a billion-person public conversations app that is a bit extra constructive, and I believe that if we maintain at this for a couple of extra years then I believe we have now a superb probability of reaching our imaginative and prescient there.”

A billion customers. For a Twitter-like app.

For context, Twitter, now referred to as “X”, at the moment has round 253 million day by day actives, and 550 million month-to-month energetic customers, which is by far its highest ever utilization fee.

Or at the very least, that’s what X proprietor and CTO Elon Musk, and CEO Linda Yaccarino, have reported. However more moderen third social gathering evaluation has really pointed to a major downturn in X utilization, as extra folks shift their attentions away from the app, in gentle of Musk’s modifications in strategy.

In response to evaluation from Apptopia, which tracks cellular app engagement throughout greater than 100,000 person gadgets, X at the moment has round 121 million day by day energetic customers, after struggling vital losses because of its current title change.

That’s day by day customers, not month-to-month, so it’s not like Threads is correct on its tail as but. However should you extrapolate the information, factoring within the common variation between day by day and month-to-month energetic customers of different social apps, X would at the moment have round 223 million month-to-month actives, not the 550 million reported by the platform itself.

Now, that’s a giant variation, and we don’t have full, official knowledge to verify the figures reported by Apptopia, as solely X would have full entry. However given the scope of information that Apptopia has accessible, it could counsel that X utilization is now considerably decrease than it had been, whereas Threads closes in on its first 100 million actives.

Instagram chief Adam Mosseri has reiterated the information, and given his personal assertion on the app’s future plans:

“We admire the vote of confidence, however we have now tons extra to do and must be cautious to not be too assured. I am hoping we are able to land assist for Europe, early Fediverse progress, higher Instagram integrations, and tendencies within the subsequent few months. It will be telling to see if these construct much more momentum.”

Threads downloads have elevated in current weeks, following X’s resolution to vary how hyperlink previews are displayed, and the warfare in Israel, which has seen many customers trying to observe actual time updates.

There are numerous issues that X’s new strategy to content material moderation, which is extra reliant on crowd-sourced fact-checking, through Group Notes, is permitting extra mis- and disinformation to permeate within the app, whereas the modifications to how content material is displayed, with paying customers getting precedence, has additionally irked many common readers.

Mix that with Elon’s ongoing criticisms of journalists and “mainstream media” publications, and it does appear that Threads’ window of alternative has expanded, with extra influential customers now trying to distance themselves from the previous Twitter app.

It’ll be fascinating to see how that evolves, and whether or not Threads can acquire extra momentum because of this.

However 100 million customers is important. If Threads can maintain even that viewers, it would doubtless set up its personal area of interest.