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Selection Awards Circuit serves as a comprehensive hub for all things related to prestigious award ceremonies throughout the year. This includes detailed and regularly updated official predictions for the upcoming Oscars, Emmys, Grammys, and Tony Awards, curated expertly by Selection‘s senior awards editor, Clayton Davis. The predictions reflect the current standings in the competitive race rather than personal preferences for any specific contender. Given the dynamic nature of these competitions, influenced by industry buzz and recent events, it’s essential to note that these predictions are refreshed every Thursday to ensure they remain relevant and accurate.

Latest Insights on SAG Awards (Updated Jan. 6, 2025): Netflix’s captivating Spanish-language crime musical, “Emilia Pérez,” which made a significant impact at the Golden Globes, is expected to lead the nominations for the upcoming SAG Awards with four nominations. These include key categories such as cast ensemble, actress (Karla Sofía Gascón), and two supporting actress nominations for the talented Selena Gomez and Zoe Saldaña.

Following closely behind in the nominations race are Universal Pictures’ blockbuster musical “Wicked” and Focus Features’ intriguing papal thriller “Conclave,” both anticipated to secure three nominations each. The competition is heating up as these films vie for recognition in various categories, showcasing the diversity of talent within the industry.

The SAG NomCom, which consists of 2,000 anonymous guild members from the film and television sectors, has a rich history of delivering unexpected results. Films like “House of Gucci” and “The Big Sick” have surprised many by earning nominations, while others like “Crazy Rich Asians” and “Beasts of No Nation” enjoyed SAG acclaim but were overlooked during the Oscars. The guild’s preference for large, star-studded casts could benefit Sony Pictures’ “Saturday Night,” which features an impressive ensemble of 26 individual title cards. Should it receive a nomination, it would break the record for the largest nominated cast in SAG history, surpassing “Gosford Park” (2001).

In the highly competitive best actor category, the fifth nomination spot is still up for grabs. Potential contenders include Daniel Craig for his transformative role in “Queer,” Hugh Grant for his thrilling performance in “Heretic,” and Sebastian Stan, who has impressed audiences in both “The Apprentice” and “A Different Man.” If Stan receives recognition, it could also open the door for his co-star Jeremy Strong to join the ranks of nominees.

The best actress category is shaping up to be a fierce competition, with Gascón from “Emilia Pérez” and Cynthia Erivo from “Wicked” expected to shine in their musical performances. At the same time, Demi Moore’s performance in “The Substance” and Mikey Madison’s role in “Anora” have been gaining momentum. However, the standout may be Marianne Jean-Baptiste, whose groundbreaking portrayal in “Hard Truths” has caught the attention of critics, recently achieving a rare critics’ trifecta with major awards from the NYFCC, LAFCA, and the National Society of Film Critics. This achievement is shared by only five other women in history, including Cate Blanchett and Isabelle Huppert. Adding to the intrigue, Fernanda Torres, fresh off her Golden Globe win for “I’m Still Here,” could disrupt the dynamics for Angelina Jolie in “Maria” and Nicole Kidman in “Babygirl.” The depth of talent in this category suggests that no frontrunner can be considered genuinely safe.

The supporting acting categories are also packed with competitive talent. Clarence Maclin from “Sing Sing” and Danielle Deadwyler from “The Piano Lesson” have both been overlooked at the Golden Globes and may find redemption here. Meanwhile, lesser-known contenders like Stanley Tucci from “Conclave” and the duo from “A Full Unknown,” Elle Fanning and Monica Barbaro, remain wild cards. These categories often celebrate under-the-radar performances, providing a platform for breakout stars to shine.

The SAG Awards have consistently served as a significant predictor for Emmy nominations, and this year is no exception. FX’s epic historical drama “Shōgun,” led by the talented Hiroyuki Sanada and Anna Sawai, has already made history by becoming the most decorated drama series ever. It is expected to continue its dominance alongside Netflix series such as “The Diplomat” and “Squid Game.”

In the comedy category, ABC’s “Abbott Elementary” remains a strong contender, celebrated for its clever writing and cohesive ensemble cast led by Quinta Brunson, solidifying its place as an awards favorite. Other major contenders include Hulu’s “Only Murders in the Building,” featuring comedy legends Steve Martin, Martin Short, and Selena Gomez, alongside FX’s culinary drama “The Bear,” which has garnered critical acclaim throughout the year. The question remains whether HBO/Max’s “Hacks” can make a triumphant return.

The nominations for the SAG Awards will be revealed on Wednesday, Jan. 8, with actors Joey King from “We Were the Lucky Ones” and Cooper Koch from “Monsters: The Lyle and Erik Menendez Story” announcing the nominees. This could mark a significant career milestone for Koch, as he is likely to receive a nomination for his chilling portrayal in the streaming series.

Stay tuned for the final predictions for the SAG Awards nominations below.

The 31st Screen Actors Guild Awards will be broadcast live on Netflix on Sunday, Feb. 23, 2025, followed by the 97th Oscars on Sunday, March 2.

• Explore the Film Acting Categories for SAG Awards

• Outstanding Cast Ensemble in a Motion Picture

  

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• Best Male Actor in a Leading Role

  

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• Outstanding Female Actor in a Leading Role

  

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Best Male Actor in a Supporting Role

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